Sources indicated on 2 October 2026 that China has stepped up soybean purchases so far in 2026, a development highlighted in a weekly market note from shipbroker Banchero Costa.

Banchero Costa told clients that soybeans remain a key dry-bulk commodity and account for roughly 3 per cent of the world seaborne dry-bulk trade, underlining the crop's enduring role in tonne-mile demand patterns.

The broker's note also recorded that total seaborne exports of soybeans in the calendar year 2025 rose by 4.6 per cent compared with the previous year, a gain the firm set out as part of its wider commodity review.

Consequences for demand and tonnage

An increase in China’s imports through 2026 is likely to put additional tonnage to work in the dry-bulk sector as the country has historically been a major destination for protein-crop flows; the broker’s observation points to renewed activity on routes that carry soybeans from key exporting regions to East Asia.

Shipowners and operators will monitor the persistence of these flows because soybean shipments influence demand for a range of vessel sizes and can affect underlying cargo availability across a trading month, even if they form a modest share of overall dry-bulk volumes.

What the numbers mean for seaborne trade

While soybeans account for only about 3 per cent of seaborne dry-bulk trade by volume, the commodity generates significant voyage distance and scheduling effects because long-haul shipments from major producers create extended employment for vessels, according to the broker’s commentary.

The 4.6 per cent rise in seaborne exports in 2025 signals expansion in the global supply of the crop last year; combined with stronger import appetite in China during 2026, the pattern warrants attention from charterers arranging cargoes and from analysts tracking fleet utilisation.

Market participants will also be alert to seasonal and logistical factors that can amplify or dampen the impact of increased flows, but the broker’s weekly report frames the recent import uptick as a material influence on dry-bulk cargo dynamics.

In short, the broker’s assessment shared via reports on 2 October 2026 emphasises that soybean movements, while a single component of a broad dry-bulk market, carry outsized operational effects because of voyage lengths and regularity of shipments.

Luke Smout, Editor of The Maritime Gazette
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